Delinquency
Your approvals shouldn't become your delinquencies.
Bad debt does not originate in collections. It originates at approval, three to six months earlier, which is exactly why nobody traces it back.
Applicants approved without verified income default 4x more often.
The mechanism
Four things, and the timing is what conceals it.
A weak approval and its consequence are separated by a quarter or two.
Unverified means 4x
Applicants approved without verified income default four times more often. That multiple does not move until the screening changes.
The lag hides the cause
Bad debt from a weak approval surfaces three to six months later, by which point nobody connects it to the application.
Overrides get logged
If a leasing agent admits an applicant the system flagged, that decision is recorded. You cannot manage an exception rate you cannot see.
Every dollar hits NOI
Bad debt is not a collections problem downstream. It is a dollar off net operating income, and it originated at approval.
Physical vs economic occupancy
One of these numbers can lie to you.
A delinquent tenant counts as occupied on the weekly report and contributes nothing to the P&L.
Physical occupancy counts units with a signed lease
Economic occupancy counts units where rent is collected
A delinquent tenant is fully occupied and fully unpaid
Physical can read 94% while NOI declines
Economic is the figure lenders and owners underwrite against
Measured at ResProp
- Decrease in delinquency
- 50%
- Decrease in total evictions
- 24%
- Fraudulent documents flagged
- 9,600
- Override default multiple
- 4x
Credit and criminal screening were already standard there. Income was the gap.
FAQ
Delinquency questions
Why does physical occupancy look fine while NOI slides?
How much of our bad debt is really from screening?
Are overrides always wrong?
What actually moved at ResProp?
Does this replace credit screening?
Split your delinquency by screening decision.
Flagged-and-admitted against approved. If the first is several times the second, that is the number worth acting on.